Polling firm Quinnipiac University released a new poll Tuesday, showing Trump down by three points among likely Wisconsin voters in the Badger State.
The poll shows the GOP nominee trailing Democrat Doug Jones by a mere 2 percentage points, 44 percent to 42 percent.
The new Quinnipac survey also shows Democrat Doug Baldwin is the favorite to win the state’s Senate seat.
The polling firm said it conducted the poll from Dec. 7-11 and interviewed 835 likely voters, including 636 likely voters in Wisconsin.
It also surveyed 818 likely voters statewide.
The results, released Tuesday, show that the Democratic candidate leads Jones 51 percent to 37 percent, while Trump is ahead 49 percent to 35 percent among likely voters overall.
Jones leads by 7 percentage points among those voters who identify themselves as liberal, with a 9-point margin.
The survey showed the Democratic nominee holds a four-point advantage among those with a college degree, 51 percent of whom support him to 41 percent for Jones.
The Democratic candidate holds a six-point edge among white voters, 48 percent to 36 percent, with Jones leading 49 percent of white voters overall in this group.
The QuinnipAC survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Ahead of Tuesday’s poll, Republican leaders and Trump allies were already criticizing the poll and suggesting it’s proof of how far behind the Republican is in Wisconsin, a key battleground state.
Former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, who is challenging Jones, has made it clear that he would prefer to see the Senate seat come down to a rematch with Democrat Doug Applegate.
The polls also show Trump losing the support of women voters, with 54 percent of them backing Jones and 46 percent backing Baldwin.
Trump has led the poll among white men by six points in the last four weeks, while Baldwin has won over the support from women, a crucial demographic for Trump in Wisconsin and in other states with female-majority legislatures.
A new Quinnipsac poll shows Trump leading by four points among Republican voters who are older than 45, with 44 percent supporting him to 44 percent for Baldwin.
The latest Quinnipacs poll also shows the Democratic ticket is gaining ground among Wisconsin Republicans.
The Republican candidate leads by 6 points among voters who say they are less than or equal to middle income, 53 percent to 38 percent.
Among Republican voters, 45 percent support Baldwin and 49 percent support Jones, with 45 percent choosing the Republican over the Democrat.
In the last Quinnipsacs poll, Baldwin led Jones by 4 points, 45 to 37, with the margin of the two being plus or less than three points.
Polling has shown a similar trend for Baldwin, who leads Jones by 12 points among Republicans in Wisconsin with a 54 percent to 40 percent advantage, but has lost ground among Democrats overall, where the Democratic incumbent holds a seven-point lead.
The recent Quinnipsic poll also found that Republican voters in rural areas are backing the Republican candidate by six percentage points to 14 points among Wisconsin voters with household incomes below $30,000.
The trend is similar to that of the national polls, where Republican candidates have also gained ground in the state, with Republican candidates holding an eight-point statewide lead over Democrats.
The Polling Company, which was founded in 1988, conducts polls across the country, including those of candidates running for state and federal office.